{"id":412184,"date":"2026-03-13T09:34:26","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T12:34:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.portaltela.com\/noticias\/2026\/03\/13\/ibge-projeta-safra-de-cafe-de-641-milhoes-de-sacas-em-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-03-13T09:34:26","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T12:34:26","slug":"ibge-projeta-safra-de-cafe-de-641-milhoes-de-sacas-em-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/3.81.61.233\/producao\/2026\/03\/13\/ibge-projeta-safra-de-cafe-de-641-milhoes-de-sacas-em-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"IBGE projeta safra de caf\u00e9 de 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas em 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

O IBGE projeta uma safra recorde de caf\u00e9 no Brasil em 2026, com colheita prevista para iniciar no pr\u00f3ximo m\u00eas. A estimativa \u00e9 de 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong> de 60 kg, crescimento de 3,9%<\/strong> em rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 proje\u00e7\u00e3o de janeiro e de 11,5%<\/strong> ante 2025, apoiada pela produ\u00e7\u00e3o de ar\u00e1bica.<\/p>\n

O Brasil segue como maior produtor e exportador global de caf\u00e9. O volume divulgado pelo IBGE indica que o ar\u00e1bica pode chegar a 43,9 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong>, alta de 5,6%<\/strong> na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com janeiro. Para o can\u00e9fora, a estimativa \u00e9 de 20,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong>, aumento de 0,4%<\/strong> frente ao m\u00eas passado, por\u00e9m queda de 3,7%<\/strong> ante 2025.<\/p>\n

Outros patamares de avalia\u00e7\u00e3o divergem. A Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab) projeta 66,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong>, alta de 17,1%<\/strong> frente a 2025. J\u00e1 consultorias privadas apostam em n\u00fameros ainda maiores; a StoneX apresentou proje\u00e7\u00e3o de 75,3 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Proje\u00e7\u00f5es divergentes entre \u00f3rg\u00e3os<\/h3>\n

Para o IBGE, o clima tem favorecido lavouras do centro-sul, enquanto problemas clim\u00e1ticos em unidades produtoras permanecem pontuais. A safra de 2026 tende a crescer naturalmente pela configura\u00e7\u00e3o da esp\u00e9cie, em anos pares.<\/p>\n

AstoneX aponta redu\u00e7\u00e3o anual para o caf\u00e9 can\u00e9fora, com expectativa de produ\u00e7\u00e3o em torno de 25 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong>. O IBGE, no entanto, mant\u00e9m sua proje\u00e7\u00e3o de 20,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas<\/strong> para o can\u00e9fora, que inclui robusta e conilon, com varia\u00e7\u00e3o influenciada pela base de compara\u00e7\u00e3o hist\u00f3rica.<\/p>\n

Cen\u00e1rio por tipo de caf\u00e9<\/h3>\n

Apesar do clima favor\u00e1vel, a base de compara\u00e7\u00e3o impacta os n\u00fameros. Em 2025, a safra de can\u00e9fora foi recorde, o que pressiona as varia\u00e7\u00f5es em 2026. O IBGE ressalta incertezas quanto ao volume e \u00e0 frequ\u00eancia de chuvas no primeiro quadrimestre. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o ar\u00e1bica aponta continuidade de desempenho superior, diante de condi\u00e7\u00f5es clim\u00e1ticas est\u00e1veis na regi\u00e3o produtoras.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \n
  • IBGE projeta safra de caf\u00e9 de 2026 em 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas de 60 kg, 3,9% acima da proje\u00e7\u00e3o de janeiro.<\/li>\n
  • O volume representa alta de 11,5% ante a safra de 2025, puxada pela produ\u00e7\u00e3o de gr\u00e3os ar\u00e1bica.<\/li>\n
  • A proje\u00e7\u00e3o do IBGE fica abaixo da estimada pela Conab, que aponta 66,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas; consultorias privadas apontam mais de 70 milh\u00f5es, com StoneX projetando 75,3 milh\u00f5es.<\/li>\n
  • Caf\u00e9 ar\u00e1bica \u00e9 estimado em 43,9 milh\u00f5es de sacas, alta de 5,6% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a janeiro.<\/li>\n
  • Caf\u00e9 can\u00e9fora (robusta e conilon) deve produzir 20,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas, queda de 3,7% ante 2025; StoneX prev\u00ea cerca de 25 milh\u00f5es de sacas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":412196,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"summary":"IBGE projeta safra de 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas em 2026, abaixo de Conab, com ar\u00e1bica em alta e clima favor\u00e1vel no centro-sul","footnotes":""},"categories":[2120,3395],"tags":[645,905,363,2382,94,2321],"class_list":["post-412184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agricultura","category-producao","tag-agricultura","tag-agro","tag-brasil","tag-commodities","tag-economia","tag-exportacoes"],"yoast_head":"\nIBGE projeta safra de caf\u00e9 de 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas em 2026 - Portal Tela (STAGING)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IBGE projeta safra de caf\u00e9 de 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas em 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"IBGE projeta safra de caf\u00e9 de 2026 em 64,1 milh\u00f5es de sacas de 60 kg, 3,9% acima da proje\u00e7\u00e3o de janeiro. 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O volume representa alta de 11,5% ante a safra de 2025, puxada pela produ\u00e7\u00e3o de gr\u00e3os ar\u00e1bica. A proje\u00e7\u00e3o do IBGE fica abaixo da estimada pela Conab, que aponta 66,2 milh\u00f5es de sacas; consultorias privadas apontam mais de 70 milh\u00f5es, com StoneX projetando 75,3 milh\u00f5es. Caf\u00e9 ar\u00e1bica \u00e9 estimado em 43,9 milh\u00f5es de sacas, alta de 5,6% em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a janeiro. 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