{"id":431050,"date":"2026-03-25T05:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T08:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.portaltela.com\/noticias\/2026\/03\/25\/nova-pesquisa-atlasintel-mostra-intencoes-de-voto-para-presidente-no-1o-turno\/"},"modified":"2026-03-25T05:30:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T08:30:00","slug":"nova-pesquisa-atlasintel-mostra-intencoes-de-voto-para-presidente-no-1o-turno","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/3.81.61.233\/noticias\/politica\/2026\/03\/25\/nova-pesquisa-atlasintel-mostra-intencoes-de-voto-para-presidente-no-1o-turno\/","title":{"rendered":"Nova pesquisa AtlasIntel mostra inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para presidente no 1\u00ba turno"},"content":{"rendered":"

AtlasIntel divulgou nesta quarta-feira, 25, uma pesquisa sobre inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para o primeiro turno da elei\u00e7\u00e3o presidencial. O levantamento aponta o atual presidente, Lula<\/strong> (PT), na lideran\u00e7a em todos os cen\u00e1rios analisados, com vantagem menor sobre o segundo colocado, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> (PL-RJ). Em um dos cen\u00e1rios, o estudo tamb\u00e9m contempla o governador do Paran\u00e1, Ratinho Junior<\/strong> (PSD), que anunciou recentemente n\u00e3o concorrer ao Pal\u00e1cio do Planalto.<\/p>\n

Foram feitas 5.028 entrevistas pela internet, entre 18 e 23 de mar\u00e7o, com o m\u00e9todo Recrutamento Digital Aleat\u00f3rio. O instituto informa margem de erro de um ponto percentual, com 95% de n\u00edvel de confian\u00e7a. O registro no TSE \u00e9 BR-04227\/2026.<\/p>\n

Principais cen\u00e1rios de voto<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 1: Lula<\/strong> 45,9%; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> 40,1%; Renan Santos 4,4%; Ronaldo Caiado 3,7%; Romeu Zema 3,1%; Aldo Rebelo 0,6%; Branco\/Nulo 1,9%; N\u00e3o sei 0,3%.<\/li>\n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 2: Lula<\/strong> 45,5%; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> 42,4%; Renan Santos 4,6%; Romeu Zema 3,7%; Eduardo Leite 1,2%; Aldo Rebelo 0,8%; Branco\/Nulo 1,6%; N\u00e3o sei 0,3%.<\/li>\n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 3: Lula<\/strong> 45,7%; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> 40,6%; Renan Santos 4,5%; Ratinho Junior 3,4%; Romeu Zema 3,3%; Aldo Rebelo 0,7%; Branco\/Nulo 1,6%; N\u00e3o sei 0,3%.<\/li>\n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 4: Lula<\/strong> 45,6%; Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas<\/strong> 33,3%; Romeu Zema 6,2%; Renan Santos 4,6%; Ronaldo Caiado 4,2%; Aldo Rebelo 0,6%; Branco\/Nulo 3,9%; N\u00e3o sei 1,7%.<\/li>\n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 5: Lula<\/strong> 45,7%; Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> 35,8%; Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas 7,9%; Renan Santos 4,3%; Ronaldo Caiado 2,8%; Romeu Zema 1,6%; Aldo Rebelo 0,5%; Branco\/Nulo 1,3%; N\u00e3o sei 0,1%.<\/li>\n
  • Cen\u00e1rio 6 (sem Lula, cen\u00e1rio improv\u00e1vel): Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> 40,1%; Fernando Haddad (PT) 37,6%; Renan Santos 4,5%; Ronaldo Caiado 3,9%; Romeu Zema 3%; Aldo Rebelo 1%; Branco\/Nulo 6%; N\u00e3o sei 4%.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    A AtlasIntel tamb\u00e9m avaliou um cen\u00e1rio sem Lula, calculando o desempenho de poss\u00edveis concorrentes caso o atual presidente n\u00e3o concorresse. Nesse cen\u00e1rio alternativo, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro aparece \u00e0 frente, seguido por Haddad, com votos \u00fateis de menor volume para os demais candidatos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      \n
    • A AtlasIntel divulgou, com 5.028 entrevistas online realizadas entre 18 e 23 de mar\u00e7o, que Lula lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios do 1\u00ba turno.<\/li>\n
    • Nos cen\u00e1rios 1 a 5, Lula fica entre aproximadamente 45,5% e 45,9%, enquanto Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro oscila de 35,8% a 42,4% conforme o cen\u00e1rio.<\/li>\n
    • No Cen\u00e1rio 4, o segundo colocado \u00e9 Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas, com 33,3%, seguido por Romeu Zema e Renan Santos.<\/li>\n
    • O Cen\u00e1rio 6 testa um cen\u00e1rio sem Lula, apontando Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro com 40,1% e Fernando Haddad com 37,6%.<\/li>\n
    • A margem de erro \u00e9 de um ponto percentual, com confian\u00e7a de 95%; o registro no TSE \u00e9 BR-04227\/2026.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":431060,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"summary":"AtlasIntel aponta Lula \u00e0 frente em todos os cen\u00e1rios do 1\u00ba turno, com margem estreita sobre Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro; Ratinho Junior aparece em uma proje\u00e7\u00e3o","footnotes":""},"categories":[1,33],"tags":[363,152,3795,92,6831,2065],"class_list":["post-431050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","category-politica","tag-brasil","tag-eleicoes","tag-politica_","tag-presidente","tag-renan-santos","tag-tse"],"yoast_head":"\nNova pesquisa AtlasIntel mostra inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para presidente no 1\u00ba turno - Portal Tela (STAGING)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nova pesquisa AtlasIntel mostra inten\u00e7\u00f5es de voto para presidente no 1\u00ba turno\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A AtlasIntel divulgou, com 5.028 entrevistas online realizadas entre 18 e 23 de mar\u00e7o, que Lula lidera todos os cen\u00e1rios do 1\u00ba turno. 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